Saturday, December 29, 2018

Silence before storm


For a long time,I have been trying to consider some vital issues which are not only parts of economy.

Planet moves to other side.....

Some bad things are happening.....



  • Earthquakes........

  • Tsunamis............

  • Etna pompeii

  • Floods.......

  • Snow stormings.....

  • Extra ordinary weather changings in an ordinary day.

















These photos were taken in Indonesia,unfortunately many people were dead by volcano eruption  (earthquake and tsunami).

Numbers look different,officials do not know true numbers (thousands or more).



   ETNA 




Planet is sick,it is not a secret.Have you a cancer patient in your family? For example doctors say you are a breast cancer then tumor move to brain.Later time it moves to lung or liver.This is a loop.

I guess we have this loop.
Asia-Europe-Africa..................




Floods, (strange weather changings in an ordinary day looks normal,heavy raining,snowing storms).

Animals,humans,plants.Do you think they are normal? 



SECRETS

They have some privacy data and they do not share with us? Is it possible? Why not? Our solar system has a problem?



Some planets outside of the world  destroy by  unknown  matters however  some strange incidents happen recently. (Numbers of incidents are increasing)

Uranus has a problem ? I mean seriously a big problem.


Or

Core of the world has no enough power  for feeding 8 billion people.

Which are connected with ozone layer ( more radiation  more cancer incidents ,more illnesses, more bad things.)

SOLUTIONS

You know the answer,G-8 leaders signed   creating clean weather and reducing of global warming effects in Paris.

So what  did they do?

They chose money (who cares future,clean weather and planet).

This is simple you are sick doctor says if you accept cure you can be alive if you don't you can be die it is your choice.

They love money.........






Friday, December 28, 2018

FATHER CHRISTMAS




NOEL,PEACE,LOVE,LOYALTY. Gifts what will they present?


Markets have some problems,if you read my last articles,you would understand what I mean about last economical developings.

Trump created some problems by himself who said many things about Powell and FED.By these explanations,Dow Jones,S & P 500 ,Nasdaq have seriously big problems.

Trust and respect are the main creteria for economy.


  • Now,according to Mnuchin ( Secretary of treasury department of USA),we trust Powell and FED presidents.


They say calm down no worries.......


  • Also, 10 years USA bonds are % 2,77.Two months ago it was % 3,25.





Other theories,a new global economic cris will happen in coming soon ? Brent Petrol prices have been dropping against OPEC decision.What was  Opec decision ?


  • Russia & Saudi Arabia had a deal for reducing petrol production.



  • Syria is so complicated  although these incidents peace can be possible many Arabic countries open their ambassadors in Syria.



  • Brexit can not be soft.


PMI

PMI  Indexes,in many regions of the world PMI data have been reducing which shows (production power,and  exporting power of contries).


  • China,EU,India look slowly.



  • Trade wars effect negatively  to China  economy.China still is a member of EM.


Turkey..........

Last week local investors bought $ 3,5 billion.But away TL still looks stabil and powerful.The reason can be markets have no ( exciting political news and incidents).

Dollar Stocks of investors are increasing.

In other way we have last week of 2018 and volatility is so weak in global markets.Inflation and employment data do not look well.

CDS :370

2 years bond : %21-%19,70.

Conclusion

2019 will be hard year for all of the markets.It can continue until end of 2021.EM markets already have problems if a new global crisis starts, they will feel with much more worse..

Again we can see powerful dollar ( Dollar Index).



Thursday, December 20, 2018

SALARY and FUNNY


Hi, human kind what are you doing ?


I have an interesting issue today,especially you know we are end of 2018,minumum wage salary will explain coming soon in Turkey.

And they invented new words.

1-)Hard  level Jobs
2-)Middle level Jobs
3-)Easy level jobs

You see 3 different diffuculty classification ,they do by TUIK.

Bosses say we do not want to pay much  more money ,inflation can be % 21 but away who cares ,why we should do? :))) It is funny I think seriously it is much more funny than watching home alone 2.


And inflation is % 21.....

In below pitcure you see slaves,you think we are free or anything changed? Nope we have just a television and a mobile phone that is all.



Buying a cup of tea and simit are not easy total money of them are  6 Lira.


It is a puzzle,for example you are a youth man or woman,when you graduated from a university,you try to find a job however these incidents affect your salary.

Long years many long years you can have so terrible salaries and conditions.......

In terms of these perspective developing of technology does not look well,only not technology many things,education levels,learning any foreign languages and more more...........................


Summary

Advices....................................


Develop yourself,search,read,analyse.,....

and do not forget  human kind is not perfect.

we are not God,just some people think we are God....

Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Climates..........



       Wauff  last week Poland had climate  peak......


      I am sure that your leaders love nature,human rights,orphans,cancer patients,animals everything.


                             

They gave so vital decisions when they drunk with their roms ans wines.......Our planet is so old,it is not a secret  the main point is to create some minds.... Leaders yeah leaders they can do that.Answer is no.


                             

  POISON TIME


Everybody knows if they want factories  can work with green power but they want it of course not it means more investment more money.Who loves spending money for stupid things?
They have this idea.



      G-8 TIME 

                             


Generally G-8 leaders you know they give decisions like that,money which is the key even for purgatory......


North Pole is destroyed by.... ( Factories need more money who cares if you have money you can live in Mars)

Wars ( who cares deaths and refugees)  Petrol & Guns ( We should sell them ) Our stocks are full of with guns.



                           


In coming soon one year later or 5 years later these cute animals can not live in North Pole,because all of the places will be demolished by global warming.


Think your car if you do not repair it probably engine booms.






   If you do wrong things,nature punishes you,it will not first and end.









Sunday, December 16, 2018

Science is our enemy?



Hi fellas,you know the planet has been changing for a long time,although some these technological and artificial intelligence,we are still nothing.

Why I say human kind is nothing?

Simple;even we do not use science with truely,we see it like our enemy.If we talk about  concrete things,tell me ;

Why we believe leaders and politicians as God? 

Our planet is getting warm not today but tomarrow it will destroy by global warming effects ( north pole,damage lights,radiations,or unknown new viruses.


We know solutions,but away we do not apply for them?Why it is expensive,only not in global warming in every incidents.Greed......

Why do not we try using full capacity of our brains? I do not mean movies......

At least we can analyse some things,main difference between humans and others.

And they say you will fight,we have wars really?

Generally they drank their brandies when they told ..... You can sure that.

Obviously key is to learn some things by using science.(Black holes,artificial intelligence,other dimensions,artificial  human body parts and more.

We know future where is in there......








Thursday, December 13, 2018

Can Trump depose by prosecutor?



Yes or no why not ?...........

I guess prosecutor Muller can depose president Donald Trump.His lawyer Cohen is arrested by court last evening.Trump accused his lawyer for dealing with FBI.



Reasons:Russian relationship, and other  incidents (unknown)

So what  is connection with  this issue about economy ?

For a long time,Trump has strange kinds on FED and other economical incidents (Iran sanctions,Turkey,Russia,EU,China,Trade wars).He says about Powell,you will not hike interest rate.Also he said to Powell,you are stupid?In December Fed meeting. next week if you hike interest rates,I will not be  pleasure.So strange......

FED is independent,of course Trump says his idea.But away he chose Powell for FED president.

In American History any USA president did not tell these things about for Fed Presidents,or any judgment members.


It will affect USA economy why? 

Of course it will be,I guess conclusions can  be positive.

If Trump goes,I think  S&P 500,Dow Jones,Nasdaq will increase ( positive). 10 years USA bonds can hike into %3,23. (safe place)

FED will be free,(They can hike interest rates without any pressure) and high level bonds can create strong dollar.

For EM members can hurt by these incidents.Accidentally ons gold prices can increase just a little and Brent Petrol can have some power by dollar.


Other Enigmas still continue.........

Russia-Ukraine

Iran

Syria

Middle East

China

Trade Wars





Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Peace or Fight



It is getting warm..............





Actually I will not tell  any things about incidents in France.Politicians..............

Who cares retired or poverties ? I had said before,you think they care your nation,age,gender,culture,

NO...............


IN BIG PICTURE


What is happening and will happen? 

Huawei Boss  was arrested in Canada by police department,according to explanations,reason is breaking sanctions of USA applying to Iran.

China says:be free her.....

Last night,suddenly China said all Iphone models will not sell in our market,we will not let selling them.

NEXT MOVE ?

Last G-20 meeting,China and USA had a peace for trade wars ( They had said no additional  custom taxes for American cars,selling soya to China and LNG) 

USA  had wanted a little bit balance for trading,currently it looks so complicated.

In the other side,Russia has sent some nuclear capacity planes to Venezuela.Last thursday Opec had said we will reduce Brent Petrol producing (Saudi Arabia ,Russia,Iraq) 




TURKEY  THIRD QUARTER  GROWTH

Yesterday,we learned   growth ratio of Turkey in this quarter.Data shows it looks so fasting slumping.

Of course, it is bad,if you are a developing country you should grow with %5 or over in a year.

%1,6 growth ratio looks not well,importing drops the main matter is power of Lira changes against all foreign exchanges.

Also exporting prices affect by currency changings.EMs will have some effects by FED,BOE,ECB  and trade wars.

CONCLUSION

Although these analyses ,we will have  seriously and complicated terms.Future of trade wars,Brent Petrol prices,Middle East,Russia-Ukraine,people life (artificial intelligence,Mars)




Wednesday, December 5, 2018

Low Inflation or Waiting time



Hi,TUIK (Turkish Statistical Institute ) shared November inflation two days ago.It seems,core inflation drops.

 If you look at the list about PPI and CPI ( products,vehicles prices list) for example;

Diesel engine and gasoline engine cars prices have been dropping...............

Also government did some discounting in taxes for cars,white goods.According to numbers,sellings look stabil.

Deficit of budget will have increased end of year.It will be a new record.




One more thing ,I guess inflation will be %22-23 end of this year,some small changings only create a little bit time for inflation.

S&P and Fitch say same things.They shared new reports about Turkish Economy.

WHAT I SAID IN SEPTEMBER?


Probably fire of the dollar may be  drop,reasons :Trump effect on FED,softing in trade wars.Ons gold can have a little bit value in this term.

China says we will buy soya and LNG from USA.Trump wants no hiking interest rates in 2019-2020.

Also  when petrol prices hikes USA inflation  can increase ,end of these matters; FED needs more hiking interest rates.

And Strong dollar can damage exporting power of USA in long term.


UNKNOWN-ENIGMAS

1-)Syria is complicated ?North Syria
2-)Opec meeting will be important,brent petrol product will increase or not?
3-)Iran ?
4-)New equation in Black Sea ( Russia-Ukraine) a new war ?

USA 10 YEARS-2 YEARS

Currently 10 years and 2 years are near to each others.Levels are % 2,91.But away big cities Fed presidents say like president of San Francisco and Chicago.3 hiking interest rate are necessary for controlling inflation.

A Signature

A reality is so clearly for EM countries they will not find money with easily,and their currencies will have problems and inflation.

BREXIT -BOE,ECB will be a new FED or Hawkish, FED looks a dovish but it is not.

Monday, December 3, 2018

Stories of Supernatural,Metatron


What a damn days....I  mean so charmable,nice,wonderful and awesome days.....

I feel like a director of Supernatural todays.

Economic growth

Economic justice

Economic taxing system


I will give an example,think a prince builds a palace by pure gold also 1,000,000 women I mean his wifes are in there.It is in the holy ground.

Only not a prince,politicians,or in quotation religious man or women.

"They talk about mercy,guilty,and other things"

FUNNY
SERIOUSLY

What a tragedy,what a pitty for them what a shameless for them.


ONE MORE THING

Our  world you think how old is it?

How many prophets came to the planet? Thousands may be.

How many times God warned us? Millions,Billions...